Axis My India, Chairman and MD Pradeep Gupta’s views on the Gujarat election predictions.
On predications Pradeep Gupta, Chairman & Managing Director, Axis My India said “On predications Pradeep Gupta, Chairman & Managing Director, Axis My India said “We saw a pro-incumbency wave for the Narendra Modi-led BJP which combined with a substantial divide in opposition votes between Congress and AAP led to an historic victory for BJP as was predicted in our exit polls too. The party’s strategy of introducing fresh faces by replacing the chief minister and all other ministers, as well as denying tickets to up to 45 incumbent MLAs worked wonders for them.
The majority of votes to the saffron party came from Patel’s, OBCs, and upper castes. As many as 41% of voters chose the party based on the development it brought to the state, while 19% chose it because of the “Modi factor”.
The party additionally garnered more votes from female (48%) and urban voters. AAP’s efforts to undermine the BJP’s fundamental Hindutva tenet backfired. From a comfortable second spot, three months prior, the party began to lose Muslim-Dalit-Adivasi vote blocs to Congress as the decisive Election Day drew near.
Furthermore, the party gave Congress the Muslim-Dalit vote on a silver platter by remaining silent in the Bilkis Bano convict release case. Elections in a vast and diverse democracy like India are a very complicated process, and they get even more complicated in a state like Gujarat with so many different castes and regions (SC,ST, OBC, Thakor, Koli, Muslim, Patel community etc). Our exit poll predictions showcase our strength and scale as an expert polling organisation which understands the pulse of Indian voters”